CEE 340 · Advanced Foundation Engineering · Ch. 11

Slope Stability

A slope is a structure nobody designed. Gravity pulls a wedge of soil down; the soil's own shear strength holds it back. The whole subject is one ratio — and understanding why rain collapses that ratio explains most of the landslides that kill people.

Infinite Slopes Taylor's Number Method of Slices OMS & Bishop
01

The Tug of War

Every other structure in this course was designed by someone. A slope wasn't. It's just soil sitting at an angle, and the only question that matters is whether the shear strength along some potential sliding surface is bigger than the shear stress gravity is applying along it.

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Think of a heavy book on a tilted desk. Tilt gently and friction holds it — the grip beats the pull. Keep tilting and you reach an angle where it slides. Now pour water under the book: it slides at a much gentler angle, because the water is holding part of the book's weight off the surface, and friction only works on the part of the weight actually pressing down. That last sentence is the entire reason monsoon rain triggers landslides.
Core Idea

Slope stability is resisting shear strength ÷ driving shear stress along a failure surface. Everything else in this chapter is just different ways of computing those two numbers for different failure-surface shapes.

Why it matters: On 12 June 2017, 343 mm of rain fell on the Chattogram Hill Tracts and killed 152 people in a single day. Section 12 works through the measured soil properties from six of those failed slopes, and you'll be able to see in the numbers exactly why they went.
02

Defining the Factor of Safety

Intuition

How much strength is spare

FS = 1 means the soil is using every bit of strength it has just to stand still — failure is imminent. FS = 1.5 means it's only using two-thirds of its strength. Design targets are typically 1.3–1.5 for permanent slopes.

Mechanics

Mobilized strength

The soil doesn't use all its strength unless it has to. The portion actually in play is the mobilized strength τd. You can define a separate factor for cohesion and for friction; a true factor of safety is the value where both are reduced equally.

The Math

Definitions

\[ FS = \frac{\tau_f}{\tau_d} \] \[ \tau_f = c' + \sigma'\tan\phi' \] \[ FS_{c'} = \frac{c'}{c'_d}, \quad FS_{\phi'} = \frac{\tan\phi'}{\tan\phi'_d} \]

When FSc' = FSφ', that common value is the factor of safety FSs.

03

Infinite Slopes — No Seepage

"Infinite" means the slope is long and uniform, and the failure surface runs parallel to the ground at some shallow depth H. That sounds artificial, but it's an excellent model for real shallow slides — a thin mantle of weathered soil sliding on stronger rock beneath, which is exactly what most rainfall-triggered hillside failures are.

Because every slice of an infinite slope looks identical to every other, the forces on the sides of a slice cancel. That's what makes it the one case you can solve exactly, in one line, with no iteration.

Factor of safety
\[ FS = \frac{c'}{\gamma H\cos^2\beta\tan\beta} + \frac{\tan\phi'}{\tan\beta} \]

Two independent contributions: a cohesion term that shrinks as the slide gets deeper, and a friction term that doesn't depend on depth at all.

Critical height (FS = 1)
\[ H_{cr} = \frac{c'}{\gamma\cos^2\beta\,(\tan\beta - \tan\phi')} \]

The depth at which the slope fails. Note that if β ≤ φ', the denominator goes zero or negative — a cohesionless slope flatter than its friction angle is stable at any depth.

Core Idea

For sand (c' = 0), FS = tanφ'/tanβ — depth cancels completely. A dry sand slope is stable if and only if it's flatter than the friction angle. That's why a poured sand pile always settles to the same cone: its angle of repose is φ'.

04

Seepage: Why Rain Is So Deadly

Now saturate the same slope, with water seeping parallel to the surface. Two things change, and only one of them is obvious.

The obvious effect

The soil gets heavier

γ becomes γsat. More weight means more driving stress. But it also means more normal stress, so friction rises too — these largely cancel. This is not the main problem.

The devastating effect

Pore water carries the load

Friction depends on effective stress — grain-on-grain contact force. Pore water pressure pushes the grains apart and carries part of the load itself. Water has no shear strength, so every kilopascal it carries is a kilopascal not generating friction.

Factor of safety with seepage (water table at the surface)
\[ FS = \frac{c'}{\gamma_{sat} H\cos^2\beta\tan\beta} + \frac{\gamma'}{\gamma_{sat}}\cdot\frac{\tan\phi'}{\tan\beta}, \qquad \gamma' = \gamma_{sat} - \gamma_w \]
Look at what that factor does. The friction term gets multiplied by γ'/γsat. For a typical soil, γsat ≈ 20 and γ' ≈ 10.2 — so full saturation cuts the entire friction contribution roughly in half. A slope sitting comfortably at FS = 1.8 dry can drop to FS = 1.1 saturated without a single grain of soil changing. Worked Examples 1 and 2 do exactly this calculation on the same slope.
05

Infinite Slope Calculator

Set up a slope, then toggle seepage on and off. Watch the friction term collapse.

06

Finite Slopes & Failure Modes

Real embankments and hillsides have a top and a bottom, so the failure surface curves. Observation and theory both say it's very close to a circular arc — which is convenient, because a circle lets you take moments about its centre and make every normal force on the arc disappear from the equation (they all point at the centre, so they have zero moment arm).

Mode 1

Toe circle

The arc exits exactly at the toe of the slope. The most common mode for steep slopes and reasonably uniform, frictional soil.

Mode 2

Slope (face) circle

The arc exits partway up the slope face, taking a shallower bite. Typical where a weaker layer sits near the surface, or the slope is very steep.

Mode 3

Base circle

The arc passes below the toe, scooping out the foundation as well. Happens when soft material extends beneath the slope — and it's the most destructive, because it takes ground well beyond the slope with it.

The consequence for analysis: you don't know which circle will fail. Any single circle gives you the FS for that circle only. The real answer is the minimum FS over all possible circles, which is why analysis always means a search, never a single calculation. The Section 10 calculator does exactly that search.
07

Taylor's Stability Number

Before computers, searching hundreds of circles by hand was impossible. Taylor did the searching once, for every combination of slope angle and friction angle, and published the answer as a single dimensionless number.

The stability number
\[ m = \frac{c'_d}{\gamma H} \quad\Longrightarrow\quad H_{cr} = \frac{c'}{\gamma\, m} \]

m depends only on β and φ', read from Taylor's chart. It bundles the entire critical-circle search into one lookup.

Why it's dimensionless

c'/(γH) has no units — it compares the soil's cohesion against the stress its own weight generates. Two slopes with the same β, φ' and same c'/(γH) behave identically regardless of scale. That's what lets one chart cover every slope ever built.

Core Idea

Taylor's method answers "how tall can this slope be?" in one step. Its limits: it assumes a homogeneous soil, a circular arc, and no pore pressure. The moment groundwater matters — which, per Section 4, is when slopes actually fail — you need the method of slices.

08

The Method of Slices

Real slopes have layers, water tables, and irregular profiles, so the stress along the failure arc varies from one end to the other. The fix is the oldest trick in engineering: chop the problem into pieces small enough that conditions are constant within each piece.

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It's numerical integration with a bread knife. Slice the sliding mass into vertical strips. Each strip's base is short enough to treat as a straight chord at one angle, sitting in one material, with one pore pressure. Compute the driving and resisting force for each strip, add them all up, divide. More slices means a better approximation — 10 to 40 is plenty, and fewer for hand calculations.

The Procedure

centre O R vertical slices

Assume a circle, slice the mass above it, and sum. Then move the circle and do it again — the reported factor of safety is the lowest value found.

09

Ordinary Method vs. Bishop's Simplified

Slices push and pull on each other across their vertical faces. Those interslice forces are genuinely unknown, and how a method handles them is the only real difference between the two you'll use.

Ordinary (Fellenius / Swedish)

Ignore interslice forces entirely

\[ FS = \frac{\sum\left[c'\ell_n + (W_n\cos\alpha_n - u_n\ell_n)\tan\phi'\right]}{\sum W_n\sin\alpha_n} \]

Resolve each slice perpendicular to its own base and assume neighbours don't interact. Direct, no iteration — and conservative, typically underestimating FS by 5–20%.

Bishop's Simplified

Keep the horizontal balance

\[ FS = \frac{\sum\dfrac{c'b_n + (W_n - u_n b_n)\tan\phi'}{m_{\alpha(n)}}}{\sum W_n\sin\alpha_n} \]
\[ m_{\alpha(n)} = \cos\alpha_n + \frac{\sin\alpha_n\tan\phi'}{FS} \]

Assumes interslice forces are horizontal. Much more accurate — within a few percent of rigorous methods.

Core Idea

Notice FS appears on both sides of Bishop's equation, inside mα. There's no way to isolate it, so you guess a value (the OMS result is a good first guess), compute a new FS, and repeat until it stops changing. It typically converges in 3–4 rounds.

Want to see it done end to end? Worked Example 8 takes a real two-layer slope with seepage completely apart — geometry, slice table, one slice in full detail, and the iteration converging — with a simulator you can click through slice by slice.
Which to use: OMS is fine for hand calculations and gives a safe answer. Bishop is the practical standard — if OMS says 2.05 and Bishop says 2.17, the slope really is nearer 2.17, and using OMS just means you paid for a slightly flatter slope than you needed.
10

Critical Circle Search

This runs the real analysis: it tries hundreds of trial circles, computes both OMS and Bishop for each, and shows you the critical one — the circle with the lowest factor of safety. The ru slider is the pore-pressure ratio u/(γh); slide it up to simulate a slope saturating during a storm.

11

Worked Examples

Example 1

Infinite Slope, No Seepage

Problem: A long uniform hillside has β = 22°, with a potential failure plane 4 m down on stronger rock. Soil: c' = 12 kPa, φ' = 28°, γ = 18 kN/m³. Find FS.

1
\( \cos^2 22^\circ = 0.860,\ \tan 22^\circ = 0.404,\ \tan 28^\circ = 0.532 \)
2
Cohesion term: \( \dfrac{c'}{\gamma H\cos^2\beta\tan\beta} = \dfrac{12}{18(4)(0.860)(0.404)} = \dfrac{12}{25.0} = 0.480 \)
3
Friction term: \( \dfrac{\tan\phi'}{\tan\beta} = \dfrac{0.532}{0.404} = 1.316 \)
4
\( FS = 0.480 + 1.316 = 1.80 \)
Answer: FS = 1.80 — comfortably stable. Note that friction supplies 73% of the resistance.
Example 2

The Same Slope After Heavy Rain

Problem: The slope of Example 1 becomes fully saturated with seepage parallel to the surface. γsat = 20 kN/m³. Nothing else changes. Find the new FS.

1
Submerged unit weight: \( \gamma' = 20 - 9.81 = 10.19\text{kN/m}^3 \)
2
Cohesion term (barely changes — only γ → γsat): \( \dfrac{12}{20(4)(0.860)(0.404)} = 0.432 \)
3
Friction term — here is the damage: \( \dfrac{\gamma'}{\gamma_{sat}}\cdot\dfrac{\tan\phi'}{\tan\beta} = \dfrac{10.19}{20}(1.316) = 0.510 \times 1.316 = 0.671 \)
4
\( FS = 0.432 + 0.671 = 1.10 \)
Answer: FS falls from 1.80 to 1.10 — a 39% loss, with the friction contribution nearly halved (1.316 → 0.671). The soil is identical; only the water changed. This single comparison is the most important thing in the chapter.
Example 3

Taylor's Stability Number

Problem: A cut is planned in saturated clay under undrained conditions (φ = 0), cu = 30 kPa, γ = 18 kN/m³, β = 45°. Taylor's chart gives m ≈ 0.17. Find the critical height, and FS for a 6 m cut.

1
Critical height: \( H_{cr} = \dfrac{c_u}{\gamma m} = \dfrac{30}{18(0.17)} = \dfrac{30}{3.06} = 9.80\text{m} \)
2
Mobilized cohesion at H = 6 m: \( c_d = \gamma H m = 18(6)(0.17) = 18.4\text{kPa} \)
3
Factor of safety: \( FS = \dfrac{c_u}{c_d} = \dfrac{30}{18.4} = 1.63 \)
Answer: Hcr = 9.8 m; a 6 m cut has FS = 1.63. Because φ = 0, FS also equals Hcr/H = 9.8/6 = 1.63.
Example 4

Method of Slices — OMS then Bishop

Problem: A trial circle is divided into 5 slices, each b = 2.0 m wide (so ℓ = b/cosα). Soil: c' = 20 kPa, φ' = 20° (tanφ' = 0.364). Compute FS by the Ordinary Method, then refine with Bishop's.

SliceW (kN/m)α (°)ℓ (m)u (kPa)W sinαOMS resist.
160−122.04510−12.4754.82
214022.001224.8974.93
3180162.0812849.6183.39
4150312.3332477.2573.08
570472.9331251.2063.22
Σ170.48349.44
1
Sample slice 3: \( c'\ell = 20(2.081) = 41.6 \); \( W\cos\alpha = 180(0.961) = 173.0 \); \( u\ell = 28(2.081) = 58.3 \). Resisting \( = 41.6 + (173.0-58.3)(0.364) = 41.6 + 41.8 = 83.4 \). Driving \( = 180\sin16^\circ = 49.6 \).
2
OMS result: \( FS = \dfrac{349.44}{170.48} = 2.05 \)
3
Bishop, round 1 (start from FS = 2.05). For slice 3: \( m_\alpha = \cos16^\circ + \dfrac{\sin16^\circ(0.364)}{2.05} = 0.961 + 0.049 = 1.010 \). Numerator \( = 20(2.0) + (180-28(2.0))(0.364) = 40.0 + 45.1 = 85.1 \), giving \( 85.1/1.010 = 84.3 \). Summing all slices: \( \sum = 367.97 \), so \( FS = 367.97/170.48 = 2.16 \).
4
Bishop, round 2 (FS = 2.16): \( \sum = 369.06 \), \( FS = 2.165 \). Round 3 changes it by under 0.01 — converged.
Answer: OMS gives FS = 2.05; Bishop converges to FS = 2.17. The Ordinary Method is 5% conservative here, exactly as expected — and note Bishop needed only two rounds to settle.
12

Case Study — Chattogram, 12 June 2017

343 mm of rain fell in one day on Rangamati, Bandarban and Chattogram. Landslides killed 152 people, severed the Chittagong–Rangamati highway, and overturned valley-side retaining walls when their foundations lost support. Islam, Islam & Jeet (2021) collected undisturbed samples from six of the failed slopes and back-analysed them. Here is what the soil actually was:

SiteH (m)β γ (kN/m³)c (kPa)φ (°) USCSFSFailure mode
S-1 Manikchari1570°18.541.339.7SM0.90Shallow wedge
S-2 Manikchari S.1050°19.028.637.3SC1.30Toe general
S-3 Shapchari1065°18.9818.110.3CL0.54Base failure
S-4 Deppoyachari1670°19.009.427.4CL-ML0.86Toe general
S-5 Moddhapara1345°19.3412.932.7CL1.28Shallow surface
S-6 Kaching1250°16.801.830.2SM-SC0.82Toe surficial

Slope heights, angles and properties from Tables 1–2; factors of safety from the PLAXIS 2D Mohr–Coulomb analyses in Figure 9 of the paper.

Read S-3

Why the worst one was worst

FS = 0.54, the lowest of the six, and the only base failure. Look at the numbers: φ = 10.3° is almost nothing, so the friction term is nearly absent — this slope stood on cohesion alone. Its natural moisture was 25.6% against a 27.7% saturation limit, so rain pushed it to saturation and softened the very cohesion holding it up.

Read S-1 and S-6

Friction is no help when it's this steep

Both have high φ (39.7° and 30.2°) but almost no cohesion (1.3 and 1.8 kPa). Section 3 told you a cohesionless slope is stable only while β < φ'. At β = 70° and 50°, both are far steeper than their friction angle — so with cohesion gone, failure is arithmetic.

Read S-2 and S-5

The two that held

The only two with FS > 1 are the two flattest slopes (50° and 45°), and both have meaningful cohesion and friction. S-2 also sat at 13.9% moisture against a 21.6% saturation limit — it had capacity to absorb rain before strength began dropping.

The infiltration measurement. The authors ran a rainfall simulation on the S-2 soil: of 94 mm applied, 39 mm infiltrated and 55 mm ran off. That infiltration is the mechanism from Section 4 — rising moisture drives up pore pressure and drives down effective stress, exactly the γ'/γsat collapse in Worked Example 2. The paper also notes the hill slopes largely had no drainage design, so water could not escape. Their recommended fixes are drainage and bioengineering with vegetation — both aimed squarely at keeping pore pressure down rather than making the soil stronger.
13

Quick Reference & Quick Check

Factor of safetyFS = τf / τd
Infinite slope, dryc'/(γHcos²βtanβ) + tanφ'/tanβ
Infinite slope, seepagec'/(γsatHcos²βtanβ) + (γ'/γsat)(tanφ'/tanβ)
Sand, dry (c'=0)FS = tanφ'/tanβ (angle of repose)
Critical heightHcr = c'/[γcos²β(tanβ−tanφ')]
Taylor stability numberm = c'd/(γH); Hcr = c'/(γm)
Submerged unit weightγ' = γsat − γw
Bishop mαcosα + sinαtanφ'/FS (iterate)
Slice count10–40 typical
OMS vs BishopOMS conservative by 5–20%

1. A dry sand slope (c' = 0) has φ' = 34° and β = 30°. What happens to FS if the potential failure surface is 2 m deeper?

2. Saturating a slope roughly halves the friction term. What is the physical reason?

3. Why must slope analysis search many trial circles rather than compute just one?

4. Why does Bishop's Simplified Method require iteration when the Ordinary Method doesn't?

5. Site S-3 at Chattogram had the highest cohesion of the six (18.1 kPa) yet the lowest FS (0.54). Why?